Tuesday, May 05, 2015

Mount Thor



Yes, that's a real peak, and not a movie backdrop for Lord of the Rings.

Mount Thor is on Baffin Island, Nunavut, Canada (way up north and to the far east) and that vertical drop (it's an overhand of about 100 degrees) is the largest in the world at about 5,000 feet.

Lion Cub Stuck in Buffalo Butt


Back in 2012, writing about dog food, I observed that "The preferred diet of the wolf is not cooked backstrap from the pride of the herd, but raw flesh ripped from the diseased rectum of a downer cow."

In fact, that is true for most top end predators, which tend to gravitate towards animals that are already sick or lame, and which tend to break into large carcasses from the rear.

In the video, above, we have a young lion who has gotten his head stuck inside a cape buffalo's butt. Though it's funny on the surface, this actually appears to be a fairly serious situation for the young cub who may end up getting suffocated for its enthusiasm.

The Big Wink at Bad Behavior

A massive Medicare and Medicaid fraud was settled last night for $500 million. This is the second settlement for DaVita in a year -- they were previously nailed for $400 million in Medicare and Medicaid fraud, and it's still not over as the bad actors are being left in place at the top of the company.

As I noted in an earlier post, entitled Cheese and Choke Chains, changing corporate behavior is all about incentivizing the right good actors, and penalizing the right bad actors.

You know what doesn't work?


What doesn't work is levying a penalty 10 years too late, and levying the penalty on the stock holders who did not do the fraud, while letting everyone in the company who planned the fraud, and winked at the fraud while it was going on, keep their jobs, their promotions, their bonuses, their stock options, and their beach houses.

Imagine if we tried to train dogs that way -- by letting them jump on the table to steal the roast, then waiting two weeks to punish them, and then when a punishment is inflicted, we levy it by kicking the neighbor's cat.

Crazy?  No crazier than what we are doing when it comes to corporate crime.

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Fighting In the Streets


Nate T. sends me a post from the Marginal Revolution blog which quotes the late Black Panther and community organizer Huey Newton from his book Revolutionary Suicide:

As our forces built up, we doubled the patrols, then tripled them; we began to patrol everywhere — Oakland, Richmond, Berkeley, and San Francisco. Most patrols were a part of our normal movement around the community. We kept them random, however, so that the police could not set a network to anticipate us. They never knew when or where we were going to show up…The chief purpose of the patrols was to teach the community security against the police, and we did not need a regular schedule for that. We knew that no particular area could be totally defended; only the community could effectively defend and eventually liberate itself. Our aim simply was to teach them how to go about it. We passed out our literature and ten-point program to the citizens who gathered, discussed community defense, and educated them about their rights concerning weapons.

This was a billion years ago, of course. Back then the National Rifle Association was all for gun control and gun-grabbing, provided it was directed at disarming the uppity black folks who had dreams of self-governance and economic empowerment.

A million years later, before the internet, cell phones, MP3 players, Youtube, or Amazon, I worked for a small nonprofit, with a staff of four, focused on trying to forge a common language about the nexus between rights and responsibilities.

I was the primary writer, and the only one with even a little street experience. The other two were lawyers who mostly wrote briefs, did fundraising, and talked to city attorneys.

In any case, we got a grant to write a guide to eradicating street drug markets.  Crack had arrived in 1985, and open air drug markers and drive-by shootings were destroying neighborhoods and families.

What could be done?

That little problem got tossed into my lap.

The resulting publication was entitled The Winnable War:  A Community Guide to Eradicating Street Drug Markets, and it became a decent seller, generating  about $500,000 in sales for the organization over the next two years (I had decided we would publish it in house in case it did well; an unheard of idea back in 1991).

One of the first articles about the study was written by Abe Rosenthal at The New York Times. That piece was quickly followed up by a piece by Neal Peirce praising the new report and suggesting that the little booklet we had produced "may be the best manual ever for citizens trying to rid their neighborhoods of increasingly violent open-air drug markets."

A typical "market" will find bands of young men congregating on sidewalks or in the streets, communicating by a complex set of hand movements, marketing to a parade of automobiles (many from the "respectable" suburbs). Conner describes the open-air markets as "the 7-11 of drug marketing - high volume, quick sales, small-unit sales."

Kids get exposed to the drug trade's most alarming values - lawlessness, violence, sex-for-sale, instant gratification, ostentatious displays of gold jewelry and expensive cars. Elderly people become fearful, stop socializing in the parks. Property values plummet; physical degradation spreads.

The alliance surveyed the nation's largest cities and found 1,500 drug markets operating in 15 of them. Two-thirds of the cities reported the problem was either steady or getting worse.

Perhaps most alarmingly, the alliance found that few cities are pursuing the very tactics against drug markets that have proved highly effective in a number of lead communities.

The group places little hope in police "body counts" of arrested drug dealers, or filling up more prisons with small-time offenders. But it reports rich payoffs in a combination of neighborhood-based anti-drug activism and inventive, targeted community policing aimed at harassing drug markets out of business.

In cities across the country, organized citizen groups have shown how to intimidate drug dealers and their customers by shadowing their movements, taking photos, writing down license numbers. They organize neighborhood cleanups, repair playgrounds, sweep litter and drug paraphernalia off the street.

And while there have been isolated reports of drug-dealer attacks on individual crusaders, the alliance reports attacks on citizen patrols are, nationwide, "extremely rare." Stressing a community-based, not individual, anti-drug effort is said to reduce chances of physical confrontation.

Citizen efforts won't go far, though, unless city governments join in the effort, Conner said. Scattered cities are already showing the way. New York, Boston and others have "padlock laws" to close up properties associated with multiple drug arrests and convictions.

In Yakima, Wash., and Fort Lauderdale, Fla., owners of cars seen cruising through drug markets receive postcards warning that their vehicles have been seen in areas of high crime, prostitution and drug activity. Washington, Seattle, Alexandria, Va., and Tampa, Fla., have statutes forbidding loitering with the intent to sell drugs.

Tampa reduced its recognized open-air drug markets from 61 to three in two years. Mayor Sandra Freedman created a 41-member special police force to work closely with housing inspectors and citizen groups in boarding up or razing ''crack shacks," organizing massive neighborhood cleanups and seizing drug dealers' cars.

Charleston's police chief, Ruben Greenberg, used police officers and prisoners conscripted from the local jail to pick up trash, clear vacant lots, tow cars and obliterate graffiti defacing buildings in drug-infested neighborhoods.

What of the argument that drug activity driven out of one neighborhood just re-erupts in another? The alliance acknowledges that's often the case. But the first victimized neighborhood is relieved. The drug dealers' customer base is disrupted. And eventually drug selling and buying are driven behind closed doors - "privatized," one might say.

That may not be enough for people on a crusade to lock up drug dealers and users. Police may complain: It's tougher to compile a dazzling arrest record. But as report co-author Patrick Burns argues, once a single open-air drug market is closed down, "the community benefit is immeasurable."

Before long, we had cities ordering a 1,000 copies at a time, and police chiefs saying they were acolytes. The Brookings Institution asked for an article, and I was tapped to speak at a few law enforcement conferences.

Did it change anything? Maybe a little.

Today the core message of The Winnable War is well understood even if it is not always well operationalized. Organizing communities is hard work.  It takes time, talent, and money  That kind of stuff is always in short supply. Police have unions, constituencies, federal budget support, and self-interest. Jump out squads and mass arrests are flashy and emotionally satisfying, get you a lot of overtime, and run up the statistics sheet, which is always a solid win at promotion time.

Just as important, mass arrests are action that a police department can take unilaterally. Getting cars towed, streets swept, abandoned buildings raised, street lights fixed, median strips mowed, and streets and sidewalks repaired may involve getting coordinated action out of a half dozen or more famously disorganized, intransigent, over-worked maintenance departments where no one is ever fired for not showing up at all. Getting playgrounds built, daycare facilities funded, and bus lines running? Where would you even start with that?

And so like a rat catcher who is paid to catch rats, but is not paid to clean up the trash, sweep the corners, or mow the vegetation, a business is made that is based on busting people.

But just as you cannot trap your way out of a rat problem, so you cannot arrest your way out of a street drug market problem. It takes more than that. You have to understand why the rats are there, what they want, and what they require. Then you have remove their needs and supply the needs of an entirely different kind of animal.

Yes, it's a jungle out there. No disagreement. That's exactly why wildlife biologists are needed.


Monday, May 04, 2015

An E-Collar for Humans?


The new Apple Watch may end up being little more than an e-collar for humans -- one we are lining up to buy.


The old canine "shock collar" is dead, having been replaced with the low-sensation tapping of the modern e-collar with tone, vibration, and 100 levels of stimulation so fine it can be used to teach "place" or "come" on a 7-pound dog.

Perhaps the biggest deal in the world of dogs has yet to be noticed, however:  the arrival of the Apple Watch for humans.

Sales of the Apple Watch have been phenomenal. Pre-order sales surpassed 1.2 million on Day One, as compared to 270,000 for the iPhone and 300,000 for the iPad.

Yes, the Apple Watch can tell time.  

It can also time you, remind you, and find you.  It can give you weather and send and receive text messages.  

Where it may end up being a game changer, however, is in its ability to train you to become a better person.

As CNN notes in an article entitled, 
Will your Apple Watch program YOU?:

One of the most awaited features of Apple Watch will be its "taptic" engine, a sensory feedback tool derived from gamer joystick technology that allows for personalized tapping vibrations -- a "Yo"-like blip for a work pal or an echo of your own heartbeat captured through an embedded cardio sensor.

... Taptic wrist vibes can also carry a purpose -- reminding you to pick up a carton of eggs on your way home from work, or delivering an insistent flick from a client demanding a call-back. Therein lies a brave new response in human conditioning. All of us are accustomed to electronic signals -- an alarm clock in the morning or a pop-up calendar invite on your phone. But there's something Manchurian Candidate-like about a digital prompt delivered palpably to your wrist. Sure, the watch is a transmitter, but it's the person who's being programmed. As an accessory, smart watches are perfect for new spatial positioning technology, such as Apple's iBeacon, which can triangulate a user's exact location inside a building and allow targeted messaging when deployed in, say, a supermarket.

... Wall Street Journal tech columnist Christopher Mims recently extolled the promise of iBeacon synched to your wrist device. He wrote: "Imagine walking into a grocery store with a shopping list on your watch, which knows your location so precisely that it can plot a route through the store, saving you the frustration of wandering from aisle to aisle, wondering where that one particular item is."

Right.

Imagine a wife or business partner who can tap a husband or associate to get their attention in a store or meeting.

Imagine a watch that taps you, four times a day, to remind you to knock out ten push ups while you are at your desk.

Have a bad habit you want to break? Your phone could be programmed to remind you to do the right thing -- or to warn you off the bad thing.

As I noted a few days ago, in this increasingly busy and frenetic world, we are going to be using more robots to do our chores, and we are going to need more electronic prompts to keep everything running on the rails.

The new Apple Watch recognizes this and its "tapping" modem, tracking, tagging, and prompts may end up being little more than an e-collar for humans -- one we are lining up to buy.

Who among us does not wish to be a better person?

Who among us could not benefit from better habits, and better and more consistent direction and reminders?

And if all it takes is a few dozen "Pavlov Pokes" to permanently end a self-rewarding bad habit, who among us would say no?

Related Posts:

Four Types of Poisonous Snakes in VA and MD


Copperhead Photo by John White


Timber Rattlesnake Photo by John White



Cottonmouth Photo by John White



Canebreak Rattlesnake Photo by John White


The copperhead is the only poisonous snake found across all of Maryland and Virginia. Though its bite is rarely fatal to humans, it can be fatal to a terrier who is likely to be bit several times if it finds one in a hedgerow or prowling for mice near a barn.

The good news is that copperheads are not quite as common as some people believe -- most snakes believed to be copperheads are misidentified. Nonvenomous snakes that look a bit like copper heads include eastern milk snake and the northern water snake, but these snakes have round pupils while a copperhead and other poisonous snakes have yes with vertically slitted, elliptically shaped pupils

Cottonmouths are rarely found far from water and generally only in very swampy parts. Just because you see a large black snake swimming does not mean it is a cottonmouth -- it it much more likely to be a black rat snake.

The timber rattlesnake is generally found only in the western parts of Virginia and Maryland, generally in the mountains near rocks and ledges.

The canebreak rattlesnake is quite rare, and you are not very likely to come across one. The good news is that if you do, the rattles will let you know that you have a rattlesnake and what to expect.
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Kent State: 45 Years Ago Today



When you call out the National Guard
to suppress demonstrations, do not expect the American people to forget.

As in Baltimore, the actions of authorities at Kent State, over several days, served to increase tension, not reduce it.

As with Baltimore, there was a lot of hot rhetoric by conservatives seeking to rationalize illegal actions; in this case the illegal and secret bombing of Cambodia.

At a news conference in Kent, the day before the shootings, Ohio Governor Jim Rhodes said of campus protesters:

"They're worse than the Brownshirts, and the Communist element, and also the Night Riders, and the vigilantes. They're the worst type of people that we harbor in America."

Actually, Governor, these were America's young adults; people who simply thought we could do better than the secret murder of innocent people 9,000 miles away.

And guess what?  They were right.

Sunday, May 03, 2015

Dogswell is a Ridiculous Product


I stopped at the local Harris Teeter, and saw these dog treats being advertised. 

The bullshit hipster logo caught my eye, and then the wording:  "VITALITY FOR HOLISTIC WELLNESS."

I picked up the bag to read the ingredients (it's made of exhausted old laying hens, peas, sweet potatoes, carrots, and spinach) and was shocked at how light it was for the price. $7.29 for 5 ounces.

That means this stuff costs over $24 a pound!

A quick Google tells me this stuff is being foisted on gullible shoppers by one "Marco Giannini, who grew up with a German shepherd named Emily that developed hip dysplasia."

Right. Another "get-rich quick" fellow who knows nothing about dogs is trolling for low-information gullibles. I wondered if he used to peddle tobacco and junk food like the guy who created "Blue Buffalo"? And the answer is... just about. His last company was a "natural-beverage company called Clear Day" and it went bust. 

Giannini, of course, has no background in nutrition of any kind, no expertise in dogs, and does not even make his own dog food. His whole modus operandi appears to be classic "lick and stick" where a no-name company, without a steady sources of suppliers or a track record in food, designs a label to stick on a bag of stuff that has received little or no testing. The only difference here is the jaw-dropping pricing. With some humor, I note that the "Quality Assurance Manager" at "Dogswell" does not even have a last name!

Meanwhile, in the same store, 
whole boneless pork tenderloin is being sold for $3.15 a pound, and whole frozen chicken wings are being sold for $2.50 a pound.

As always, feed what you want, but in the pantheon of bullshit companies cranking out ridiculous products at incredible prices, it's hard to beat "Dogswell".


Passing the Torch



Ben E. King,
who wrote this song, died this week.

May 20 will be David Letterman's last day hosting his iconic show.

Stephen Colbert will pick up the reigns at The Late Show.

Ignorance Has a Permanent Cure


B.B. King, age 89, 
is now in home hospice. 

Saturday, May 02, 2015

Electronic Task Monitoring and Training Assistance

Droplet is a little button that you push after you have done something. That button sends a pre-programmed message that crosses it off your (or someone else's) list, or else alerts them that something has just happened  

Fail to push the button, and it sends you -- or someone else -- a text message that says something was not done.

Sounds like a small thing, but it's a genius training tool, and also a confidence builder that your pet-sitter is actually feeding and walking Fido twice a day, as promised, and that Timmy is cleaning out the rabbit cage twice a week, as promised.


The single greatest problem humans have is lack of consistency.

We fail to take our medication every day, we fail to walk and train our dogs, and we ignore the backyard until a farm combine is needed instead of a suburban lawnmower.

In this increasingly busy and frenetic world, we are going to be using more robots to do our chores, and we are going to need more electronic prompts to keep everything running on the rails.

This is a Kickstarter campaign that has raised $64,000 of its $80,000 goal with 17 days to go. This will happen.

Coffee and Provocation


The History of the World in a Cup
“Just the other day, I was in my neighborhood Starbucks, waiting for the post office to open. I was enjoying a chocolaty cafe mocha when it occurred to me that to drink a mocha is to gulp down the entire history of the New World. From the Spanish exportation of Aztec cacao, and the Dutch invention of the chemical process for making cocoa, on down to the capitalist empire of Hershey, PA, and the lifestyle marketing of Seattle's Starbucks, the modern mocha is a bittersweet concoction of imperialism, genocide, invention, and consumerism served with whipped cream on top.” - Sarah Vowell, from her book The Partly Clouded Patriot.

Pit Bull Was Patient Zero in Colorado Plague
It seems a Pit Bull was "patient zero" in a four-person outbreak of the pneumonic Black Plague in Colorado. This was the first animal-to-human plague transmission in the U.S. since 1924.  The Bubonic Plague came to the U.S. around 1907 from black rats that slipped in from China.  Plague is now endemic in the western Prairie Dog population.

From Follows Function
Never mind if that sentiment is not even true in that sentence. Here's a nice design wormhole to check out. Not dog related, but cool.

How Dangerous is it to Fly a Dog?
And is there really any statistical safety difference between one airline and another?

These Important Animals May Go Extinct...
...if we don't start eating them.

Jeb Bush Supports an Illegal Alien Amnesty
In other words, he is toast in the primary.


A Digital Great Leap Forward in Civil Liberties
"You know, they used to be able to get away with lying about it," he explained. "And there were lots of people in the establishment anxious to believe them over anybody black. Thank God for cell phone video cameras. Thank God for cell phone video cameras. Because now the truth is finally coming out. And it's ugly." - attorney William Murphy

Elon Musk May Change Everything
The future is owned by the rich first, but it comes to all soon enough, and with solar cell prices falling fast, solar cell efficiency soaring, and home battery systems now cheaper than a transmission rebuild on your Honda, the era of coal-fired power plants, telephone poles and downed power lines may soon be behind us. Elon Musk is the Game Changer of the 21st Century.

The Terrorists on our Roads
When you glance in your mirror, or at the car next to you at a stop light,you do not feel safer if it's a police car. You feel anxiety. Tension. And for a reason. Police almost never stop crime in progress, and they close fewer and fewer serious crime cases every year despite better forensics. In fact, for 99% of all people, all the police have ever done in your life is to write you an unending series of tickets for minor infractions and hassles. Now comes another startling statistic: American police officers kill more Americans every month than all terrorists at home, abroad, or in any theater of war combined.

Feed the Good and Weed The Bad
Let me say something about Bernie Sanders. I'm donating. He will shape the debate ahead, and in the right direction. He raised $1.5 million on Day One of his presidential campaign. For $10 a month for 6 months, you can be part of the hammer that shapes the future. Never will so little money do more good. If you play pool, you know that a three-ball carom can set up the next shot. This is that. 

Robert Reich on the TransPacific Partnership
I trust Robert Reich with this nation. So should you. Watch this. Simple. Clear. Smart.

Friday, May 01, 2015

Fish On Friday




What Blogs or Web Sites Should I Be Reading?


Put your suggestions into the comments. 

I read about 250 blogs and web sites a day using Feedly.

I try to fence out nonsense, but I am always looking for interesting, useful and fun, and a lot of good blogs are moribund or dead. Not every one has sitzfleisch.

Most people just sit on the train, or the doctor's office, or at traffic lights and they no nothing. I dictate, read, take notes, scan emails, look for pictures, listen to books. I am always looking for more input.

The Power of Frames


George Bernard Shaw once remarked that “It’s best to come at a man through his religion rather than your own.”

Religion is the right world to use in the persuasion game because it encompasses the essence of frames.

What’s a frame?

A frame can be a story, a metaphor, or a value system.

It is the structure through which you see and understand the world.

Frames are more important than facts.

Let me say that again: Frames are more important than facts.

What that means is that if facts are presented to most people, and those facts are counter to the frame, they will throw out the facts and keep the frame.

Think religion.

Religion says we must believe on faith alone, and in the absence or rejection of fact and observation.

Think the American Kennel Club. The frame here is that their dog shows produce “better” dogs and never mind all evidence to the contrary.

Frames govern a vast amount of what you think.

They underpin your politics, your charity, your acquisitions, your diet and exercise decisions, and your very sense of self.

And they also underpin what you think about dogs.

And while your frames can change over time, they tend to be quite robust, which is why George Bernard Shaw says it is always best to come at a man through his religion, rather than your own.

What frames do dog owners typically bring to the table? Among the most common are these:

  • I am a good person. I am a wise, powerful, loving, and important person worthy of adoration.
  • I am smart and discerning. I am above average, if not very nearly genius.
  • I believe in justice. People who do good should get their just rewards, while those who do bad work should get their just consequences.
  • My dog is like a member of my family. They are my “fur baby.”

How do you start a conversation with someone who personifies these frames? How do you teach them?

The good news is that we know.

What we have in the world of dogs is a recapitulation of what we have had in the world of children.

How do we teach children?

  • Patience.
  • Repetition.
  • Consistency.
  • Consequences.

Or at least in theory.

You see, a lot of folks grow up in really dysfunctional homes, and these people acquire dogs too.

These folks end up not trusting people to be patient, consistent, or fair.

They may have had parents who misinterpreted the Biblical admonition to not “spare the rod and spoil the child.”

They may have grown up in an alcoholic home or one where a parent had mental issues of some kind.

And, to be honest, even in “normal” homes, busy parents often vacillate between indifference and controlling, permissive and authoritarian, if for no other reason than both parents are often on a different page when it comes to how to rear the kids.

Any wonder why these folks are not big on e-collars, slip collars, prong collars, or any collars at all?

Any wonder they are much more comfortable with food and praise alone?



Wild Goose Chase



Source

A native Red Fox objects to a pair of Canada Geese.  "Damn foreigners taking jobs ways from British geese."

Spring Yard Maintenance Time


I cut the hot tub out of the greenhouse.
A future something!
A 360 sq. ft. perennial bed to plant and mulch in the next two weeks.
Back yard starts to green up.

Back yard

Back yard to pond (getting filled).
Moxie on the driveway down to the street,
Steps up to the back yard.
Pond with bench that needs replacing or repair,

What White Men Think, And Why They Are Wrong


Thursday, April 30, 2015

Robots Rising


Back when I wrote a lot about U.S. immigration policy, I noted that the hardest crop to automate was strawberries, but that doing so would be a very high value automation as it cost so much to pick the soft fruit, each of which ripens at a different time.

Now comes word that it has been done:

Harnessing high-powered computing, color sensors and small metal baskets attached to the robotic arms, the machine gently plucked ripe strawberries from below deep-green leaves, while mostly ignoring unripe fruit nearby.

Such tasks have long required the trained discernment and backbreaking effort of tens of thousands of relatively low-paid workers. But technological advances are making it possible for robots to handle the job, just as a shrinking supply of available fruit pickers has made the technology more financially attractive.

Machines are doing more than picking produce. Altman Specialty Plants Inc., one of the country’s largest nurseries, has been using eight, squat robots for the past two years to ferry more than 1.2 million potted roses and other plants to new rows as they grow larger. The $25,000, self-driving machines have occasionally gotten stuck in mud, but they freed eight workers for other jobs and ultimately paid for themselves in 18 months, said Becky Drumright, Altman’s marketing director.

The world of robots and artificial intelligence is making fantastic leaps, and I have already predicted that we will have robot dog trainers in the not-too-distant future. Robot drivers are already here, and also robotic flying cameras.

How about tiny robotic window washers? Not a problem. We already have tiny 9-gram robots that can pull a 2.2-pound load vertically up glass, which is equivalent to a human climbing a skyscraper while carrying an elephant. The strongest micro robots can pull 2,000 times their own weight — the equivalent of a human dragging a blue whale around the beach.

Rather than be scared of the robots rising, we should celebrate them.

Automated farm production will mean perfect watering and fertilizing, less waste, and more integrated pest management as beneficial bugs and fertilizers and sprays are spot-delivered by drones that power themselves up from solar grids.




And, as I wrote a few years back, farm mechanization has been pretty good for wildlife:

I do not begrudge farmers their air-conditioned cabs from which they can now plow, harvest and spray their fields to kill weevils and worms.

Nor do I beat my breast in anguish because genetically modified crops may soon make spraying pesticides a thing of the past.

I do not romanticize hoeing long rows by hand, nor do I worry too much about the impact that glyphosate (RoundUp) has on wildlife.

You see, America's farms now have more deer on them that at any time in the last 100 years.

They also have more turkey, fox, raccoon, duck and geese.

And the farms are strong.

They produce more hay, corn, soybean, wheat, chicken, pigs, eggs, fruit, vegetables, milk and beef than ever before.

And because they produce so much, more land is now allowed to lie fallow.

In another post I noted that the single greatest obstacle to us all eating better was a shortage of farm labor.

If we get rid of all our corn and soy bean fields, and replace them with locally-grown truck gardens, who is going to pick the lettuce, cabbage, string beans, onions, tomatoes, pumpkins, and zucchini?

A "hobby garden" is a fine thing, but you cannot feed New York, Dallas, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Boston, and Las Vegas on hobby gardens or hobby farms. You need massive plots and you need a heck of a lot of them....

If you have food crops that cannot be mechanized (and many crops cannot), then you need a massive labor force that will show up on call and without fail to work in the heat and bugs for 12 hour-days, and for as many days as it takes to bring in the crops.

And then, when the crops are in, you need those people to disappear until they are needed again at a moment's notice (i.e. during that magical three-day window when your fruits and vegetables are ready for harvest at maximum value).

But will it really by impossible to mechanize all crops? I once thought so, but I have changed my mind based on evidence.  If you can automation strawberry picking, you can automate anything. Now it's just a price point function.

Do I fear that the rise of robots and artificial intelligence will make us stupider? I do not. So far, technology has almost always made us smarter, more productive, and richer. Just look at the telephone, the automobile, and the camera.

And the iPhone? It will soon be smarter than we are:

Within seven years — about when the iPhone 11 is likely to be released — the smartphones in our pockets will be as computationally intelligent as we are. It doesn’t stop there, though. These devices will continue to advance, exponentially, until they exceed the combined intelligence of the human race. Already, our computers have a big advantage over us: they are connected via the Internet and share information with each other billions of times faster than we can. It is hard to even imagine what becomes possible with these advances and what the implications are.

I do not fear our robot overlords; I welcome them.


Sticks Are So 1990


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Just like a stick. Made of wood, and it even smells like wood! $9.49.  Found at Target.