Thursday, April 30, 2026

I Have Passed My “Sell By” Date

The good news is that “life expectancies at birth” are period data, not cohort data, which means they are as meaningless as “expiration dates” on canned foods.

The current life expectancy for my nationality, race, and gender is now 76.5 years, but that too is an underestimate, as it does not reflect the fact that I do not smoke (still the cause of 480,000 deaths a year in the US), do not drink alcohol (the cause of well over 170,000 deaths a year in the US), and do not use any pain or mood control drugs (the cause of well over 90,000 deaths a year in the US). Add in the fact that I do not engage in any “Darwin Award” activities other than running the occasional chainsaw, and I’ve probably got a few years ahead of me.


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